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Zandon- Real deal but tough trip looms. His running style doesn’t fit recent winners but he has done well with tough trips in last two. Chad Brown even mentioned he would like to see him use a little more of his natural speed to get better position in the Derby.
White Abarrio- Like this guy, tactical and runs mature, but don’t like numbers coming out of last race. Outside chance to hit board if he sits back a little further and makes one run, IMO.
Taiba- Could be great. A lot on his plate though with new trainer, shipping for first time, and a big field. How he works will probably be key. Wouldn’t be surprised if he wins or finishes off the board.
Epicenter- Most logical play at this point given running style and already has a win at 9.5f. Also won they Key prep in Risen Star and added some tactical running to the repertoire. Other than a Palace Malice led pace meltdown or “Derby trouble” hard to see him not hit the board.
Mo Donegal- See Zandon but with better trips. With right set up will be dangerous.
Tiz the Bomb- Can he handle the dirt? He did once and completely failed once. Wild Card
Early Voting- Right running style and enough talent. Chad seems 50/50 on running him but if he does total must use, I’m thinking you get 20-1.
Crown Pride- My too early Belmont horse. He is a UAE derby entry (huge negative) but Japan is hot, he will be at CD for like a month by race time, and while a Japan bred he is American classics underneath the hood (Sunday Silence and Mr prospector both sides and throw in some Seattle Slew for good measure).
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