07-01-2021, 08:20 PM
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#9
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mhaney0423
LOL I knew that was you, no need to give away the identity HAHA. To answer your question, yes that horse is worth a $20 bet GIVEN THE RIGHT PRICE. Price dictates whether a bet is made, not record, trainer, jockey, etc, etc.
You have to remember a horse may be 1-35 lifetime BUT EVERY RACE IS DIFFERENT. We dont know how many of the previous races were close to todays conditions, with antivalue above the horse. What Valuecapper gives me is a good oddsline, if I believe that oddsline which I normally check to see if I do believe it (has the horse shown anything at all recently, if not are the master pace numbers still in the ballpark?) if so then given the proper odds Im making that bet.
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OK...got it...looking forward to your test and future posts...
thxs
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