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A few years back I was wasting time making some small bets at Fonner Park. It was the first time I ever played there. I saw a horse with the top Timeform figure off its last few races, back figures that made it a standout, that was obviously going to get loose on the lead, and that was switching to a barn that was great with claims and often moved horse back up to previous peaks.
What price would a horse like that be in NY or CA?
3/5?
2/5?
The horse went wire to wire and won by just under 10 lengths. It paid $8.20.
I still think that was one of the most clear cut and obvious overlays I have ever seen. I’m not sure how often things like that happen at Fonner or other smaller tracks, but they NEVER happen in NY or CA.
It’s likely that the odds are more efficient at some tracks than others.
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"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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