Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
If I understand you right, you're saying that "stamina" is how far they can continue the ... something.
How would we define that "something?"
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I'll try to explain it.
For early speed I'm asking, if 2 horses give me their best out of the gate for 3-4 furlongs, which one is faster?
For stamina I'm asking, if this is a very demanding racetrack or the race development is very demanding which of these horses is going to handle it the best and keep running well at the end.
The first one is fairly straight forward. I can use pace figures, how often the horse gets the lead, the quality of horses has he outrun, how hard has he been used to get the lead etc.. I think I can turn that into some kind of number without too much of a problem.
When it comes to stamina maybe it's some combination of distance, class, and performance against tough trips, but I'm not sure how to turn it into a number.
Closing speed on turf in another toughie because the early pace/closing time formula isn't very obvious either. The faster they go early, the slower they'll come home and vice versa, but it's not a 1 to 1 relationship. 1 second faster early does not mean 1 second slower late or vice versa.