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Old 05-01-2007, 08:52 PM   #44
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 605
Originally Posted by 46zilzal
INEXPERIENCE is a big one.......

Tapit had the same problem as did many others over the years. Exceptions: Fusaichi Pegasus, Barbaro but even these two had more chances it get bumped and fight back than the "possible" superstar here.

This one has done everything asked of him, BUT imagine the noise the pace pressure (which is alway nuts on that day and in that race). I would be concerned.

first of all, the "curlin hasn't beat anyone" arguement is the stupidist arugement of all time...

Based off what? a media hyped 2 year old campaign?

but let's use that argument for a second.. lets judged what he has done. he ran Tefulesburg into the ground in his second career start.

Then he came back and lost by a nose to Dominican and Street Sense in the Bluegrass.

So by using that comparison, Curlin is about 7 lenghts better than anyone in the Bluegrass (which I don't think) but it goes to show the validty of the arguement.

He TROUNCED Flying First Class, who has came back and ROUMPED in the derby trail.

he Beat a Grade 2 winner in Xchanger

Is he up against it? yes and no. Talent wise, he has the talent to win it, no one will argue otherwise. what people will argue is what has he faced, etc. you can literarly aruge that for all the horses. I can make a valid arguement why at least half the horses in the field should/could win.

with that said, I am huge on scat daddy and he will get a win ticket from me. the only horse I think that has it in him to beat Curlin.

all i know is Curlin own a race by 10 and a half lenghs and could have won by more, he won for fun. And unlike Bellamy Road it wasn't a pace breakdown.
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