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Old 04-27-2004, 11:00 PM   #5
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andicap's Avatar
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: White Plains, NY
Posts: 5,228
Originally posted by cjmilkowski
If Beyer had written the article last year, I'm sure he would have included "can't be a gelding." Another case of backfitting. If a horse unraced at 2 wins this year, someone else will write a similiar article with one less entry in the criteria department.

It's almost as good as James Quinn's HorsePlayer Derby article, he doesn't pick a winner either. He narrows it down to three.

Was dual qualifier, then just dosage, can't be a filly, can't be a frontrunner, can't be the favorite...its all a bunch of you know what. The fittest, fastest horse will win with decent racing luck.

The more people write this stuff, the bigger the odds get!
That's the smartest note I will read all week about handicapping the Derby.

Bravo, CJ!

Just proves the best handicappers are not writing books and giving out advice to the public.
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