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If Beyer had written the article last year, I'm sure he would have included "can't be a gelding." Another case of backfitting. If a horse unraced at 2 wins this year, someone else will write a similiar article with one less entry in the criteria department.
It's almost as good as James Quinn's HorsePlayer Derby article, he doesn't pick a winner either. He narrows it down to three.
Was dual qualifier, then just dosage, can't be a filly, can't be a frontrunner, can't be the favorite...its all a bunch of you know what. The fittest, fastest horse will win with decent racing luck.
The more people write this stuff, the bigger the odds get!
Last edited by cj; 04-27-2004 at 04:07 PM.
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