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One thing I agree with, weights are mentioned about as often as dosage which is to say almost never. One thing about your theory, it can be directly measured in the next 8 weeks. Here's my take on what happened in the above races sans the Withers which was a virtual walkover for lack of good competition.
Robert B Lewis:
Nice race by the winner but everybody carried 118 except Liaison who carried 123. What about Rousing Sermon and Sky Kingdom both of which struggled home at 118. You could be right about Liaison maybe it was the weight but my feeling is he was not going to win the race no matter what the weight discrepancy.
Sam F Davis:
I mentioned this in another thread, somebody knew something about Battle Hardened. How does a Maiden with a soso record get bet from 11-1 to 4.50 in the latter part of the betting against horses with better records? It wasn't the weights it was probably the connections knowing he was training lights out.
Holy Bull:
Algorithms IMO, at this point, is just better if he wins out in Florida he will be the Derby Favorite.
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