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Originally Posted by Overlay
The only factors I would use as stand-alone angles like that (that would not apply to all horses in a field) are those that would be sufficiently strong that they would statistically qualify as independent variables (such as the type Quirin discussed in Winning at the Races), that by themselves account for the winning percentages they produce, apart from any other variables or factors that might be present in the horse's record. Even then, though, I think there has to be consideration of the angle's winning percentage in light of the horse's odds, rather than just betting any particular angle blindly.
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I use seven angles as screens to find live longshots. Then I handicap the strength of the field and other factors, workouts, trainer stats, distance, etc. Jockey, weight, and beyer speed figure are not involved in the process. After this it's go or no go.
For example, freshened fillies are one of my screens and I passed on a 75-1 winner at Calder yesterday because the other factors did not confirm a play. I did catch one at the same odds a few years ago because both the class of the race and workouts confirmed it. Despite missing an odd win here or there, the extra step has produced positive results.
