Quote:
Originally Posted by gamblegamble
I watched the video. There were a few interesting this I picked up, thankyou.
However, the way the pace of horse ratings are constructed is alien to me because I have the actual split times not the distance.
To calculate similar ratings for the 4f pace of horse rating with the actual time would there be any adjustments to
Par / horse split, the same way you would create the pace of race figure?
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I'm a bit confused.
If you don't have the distance, how will you measure the speed?
Also, you might want to study up on a pace approach called
Simulated Pace. It was first mentioned in a book called
Scientific Handicapping back in the '60s.
The concept is based upon the PACE OF RACE is whatever the winner ran. Thus, if the winner ran (say) a "90" speed rating, then the pace of race was a 90.
Thus, a horse that was (say) 5 lengths back at any call would get an "85."
This makes it very simple to base the ratings on just beaten lengths.
I recently did a large international project. Outside of N. America, the horses do not typically run fast paces. This creates ridiculously slow pace times and makes the velocity-based numbers pretty worthless.
Simulated pace did a much improved job, despite its obvious lack of "time reality."
Dave
