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Originally Posted by lamboguy
DUTCH, DOUBLE DUTCH OR NO DUTCH, that is a very strong record using 3 horses in 14 horse fields in a place like Hong Kong. my guess is that those races have approximately 7 1/2 win factors on average every race.
i gave the racing there a decent effort 2 years ago and found my main problem was having no clue where the horses were going to be positioned during the race. unlike north american races, cover is huge there. a very small percentage of the races were being won on the pace from what i saw.
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Yes, Dutching with the 3 early picks has been very productive. However, the Dutching I do based on the Live tote is even better in terms of the hit frequency because I can easily spot when some of the other selections are getting good action while some of the original Keys are not.
I’m not sure what’s meant by the “7 ½ win factors on average in each race”.
For those players like yourself who are interested in the potential running positions, believe it or not the HKJC Form Guide also offers a Speed Map link that indicates the apparent running styles and anticipated positions of each entry in a race. I’ve also watched many of the races in HK over the last 3 ½ years. I’ve found that depending on the turf conditions and the distances involved that the winner can come from any just about any part of the race. I particularly enjoy watching those 5F (1000M) sprints at Sha Tin where they run in a straight line (much the same as the ¼-horse racing does).
