Quote:
Originally Posted by sjk
Hard to say whether someone from a standing start would have a good chance to catch and beat the CAW teams. It would be a daunting task unlike 30 years ago when getting something out of the data was very doable.
It has come to whether it is really not worth the time to see if there are any plays. I skipped the weekend for about the first time in thirty years and haven't looked at it yesterday or today either. Maybe I am retired.
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If there's any hope, it's going to be in identifying things that are difficult for computers to turn into objective numbers and then weigh better than we can intuitively. The other possibility is finding "exceptions" to generalities that are true in aggregate but not in all circumstances.
My own efforts with data and computers yielded useful answers to handicapping questions people have debated for decades, but it's super rare to find a single factor that's profitable (at least for long) and it's obviously extremely difficult to build a model that weighs all the info better than more advanced models built by math and computer experts supported by high level handicappers.
But if YOU are considering retiring, that says more about tough it is now than theoretical conversation.
