specific views with value comments
- American Pharaoh is my very dominant win selection! (Value?) = very little if any.
- Firing Line is my somewhat dominant place selection! (Value?) = very little if any.
- Dortmund may not be on the superfecta ticket (Value?) = Moderate. Why not great value, you ask? Because after the Win and Place positions are decided we're only talking a 6 horse field for 3rd/4th with the public typically spreading in those positions. There's value here, but not great value.
- Danzig Moon > Divining Rod = (Value?) =Small value. Divining Rod is a low-impact wise-guy horse here, taking money in early doubles, but not a ton of value here.
- Mr. Z = Divining Rod = (Value?) = Small Value. See #4. Rod has a higher hit% than Z, but the odds discrepancy calls for balanced usage.
- Danzig Moon, Divining Rod, Mr. Z > Dortmund, Bodhissatva, Tale of Verve = (Value?) = No value. - Already counted the vs.-Dortmund Value, I don't get that twice here, and those other two are already the Public's bottom contenders.
RECAP + POSSIBLE SUITED TIX:
I'm now looking at vertical exotics which exclude Dortmund, and that are weighted toward Danzig Moon.
Example:
$2 trifecta AP /FL/ DM
$1 trifecta AP/FL /DR,MR.Z
questions/comments?
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Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 05-15-2015 at 05:24 PM.
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