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[cj]

Originally Posted by mountainman

nice commentary....Given the motherlode of zip in this race, I would be surprised if one or two of the speeds don't scratch............and just to piggyback your short profiles: The 12 horse took tooo many tries to clear the low alw condition, but the figs on two of his last three make him a player..and a player who can pass horses and gets first run on the deep closers..my questions about him involve the sharp regression tht follows every peak effort, and I wonder why a horse that ran so fast (on at least one occasion) as a two yr old hasn't done more as a three year old..tricky call................the six horse, a pace-oriented router, tries a different game and will have to close..i do suspect the ohio derby was his best effort, which could be relevant, since the horse lives and trains in ohio, a state still somewhat notorious for permissive med policies................also, i think the 10 horse is better than his recent form..a wide early move compromised him last time, and i don't think a full route, even at one-turn, really plays to his strength..in addition, the competition in some of his pivotal races was lethal...i like him best in late mode, and the setup rocks...............to summarize, unless late scratches alter the pace scenario, or the surface proves extremely speed, or rail, favoring, my main players are numbers 6 and 10...

and scratched.