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Old 07-30-2015, 01:20 PM   #12
highnote
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
The Wednesday dirt races look pretty formful. My Daily Variant worksheet appears below.

The most interesting race to me was #6 -- 6.5f claiming race. The winner ran almost to par at 2f. Exceeded par by three fourths of a second at 4f and then finished the race about a fifth of a second faster than par. The winner could be worth a closer look next time out depending on where he's placed.

Race #4 was a GII handicap. The winner ran about a fifth second faster than par after running about par at the second call. That would seem to indicate a good closing ability. She ran a little slower than par at the first fraction which might explain why her final time was better than par. Still, she may be worth a look next time out.

Code:
7/29/2015		ACTUAL					PARS					DIFFERENCES			
race#	2f	4f	6f	ff	|	2f	4f	6f	ff	|	2f	4f	6f	ff	class
2	22.61	45.5		69.71	|	22.34	45.5		69.14	|	-0.27	0		-0.57	6f c25 3+
4	22.47	45.03		69.14	|	21.93	44.94		69.31	|	-0.54	-0.09		0.17	6f STK F 3+
6	22.44	44.7		76.2	|	22.32	45.55		76.43	|	-0.12	0.85		0.23	6.5f c26NW2L 3+
10	23.58	46.63		83.77	|	23.05	46.24		82.8	|	-0.53	-0.39		-0.97	7f c12.5 3+
															
AVG DV	-0.40	0.09		-0.28											
MED DV	-0.40	-0.05		-0.20
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