Quote:
Originally Posted by garywpt
Kinda thought that this forum was for sharing info. With the amount of people all over the world who bet on the Derby that for people to change the odds on a horse in the Kentucky Derby with info they learned on this site is nonsense won't happen. I have done really good the last 15 years making money on Derby day by making a chart with post position, points, horse, last race place, 2nd last race place, 1 1/8 finish time, last 3/8 time, last 1/8 time, last 1/4 mile time, brisnet lp number, jock, trainer, large heart trait, ran, buckpasser, broodmare, Jon Whites points & odds. That's 18 columns with 17 angles. I then take highlighters green yellow and red and highlight the good, ok and bad of each horse. So here are 2 examples: Jon Whites strikes if a horse has 0-1 strikes I highlight in green because 81% of Derby winners since 1973 have won with 0-1 strikes. 2 strikes get yellow because since 1973 just 7 horses have won and every other horse gets red. Now last 1/4 of a mile time if the horse has a time under 25.3 he gets green and a horse over that gets red because 35 of the last 48 winners 78% were under 25.3. Green good yellow ok red BAD. Do that with angles for each column and when finished you will see 1, 2 maybe 3 horses to be on TOP and which to put under. I did not do this in 2020 (didn't bet the Derby last year covid) and for 2019 it showed Max Security and I still have the win ticket with Max Security and exacta and tri tic's on top of Country House. Every year I have done this I have had the winner. So share info it's not gonna change anything.
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You and PoT are both right on the odds and sharing the Knowledge thats what stan did with his book. I learned from him and use what he taught me So garywpt thank you for sharing your method.
Give a man a fish feed him for a day , show him how to make a pole, thread the line, bait the hook and give him the pole and he says " Let me know when you have my fish"? Throw the pole in the water and walk away, or use him for bait. all the info is out there, go get it.
I have learned a lot from this site, and I USE what I have learned. Hell, my first few years of this I was breaking down the times by hand,all the races on the trail, I Know how much work it is. Now I have a program that does it for me. EquSim
its way past my bedtime, I am getting cranky, good night
