Quote:
Originally Posted by FakeNameChanged
Didn't you say that your research shows that the top three betting choices has risen to 73% when it was at 66-67% twenty or thirty years ago. That's a 9% to 11% improvement on the public selection, whether it's from handicapping, or money flow on picking the winners. Why would anyone drop their weighting of something that is a reliable factor?
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Because the goal is not to agree with the public but to find the spots when the public is wrong.
If we used your approach to the letter we'd simply give the horses the precise probabilities indicated by the tote board.
Where would that leave us?
