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Originally Posted by horses4courses

People should start taking their own samples.
This will be easier for anyone with TVG or RTN,
but it could be done at any simulcast facility as well.

Look at any number of races during the day.
Sprints are preferable, because the advantage
out of the gate is greater. At 0 minutes to post,
make a list of all the starters odds. If a horse
breaks well on top, track his odds during the race.

You can probably get 5 or more samples a day.
Total them up over time.
If there is a strong trend of bet downs during
the race, the answer is pretty clear.
If not, well........

Not all of the quick breaking horses will win.
A fair percentage will, though.
If they are regularly dropping in odds in the
first quarter mile, you have to think the worst.

Maybe it's at some tracks more than others?
I don't know.

The race at Keeneland on Sunday that set PA off
was one I was watching closely. I had the winner
in a contest and was expecting an 8-1 return.
Dropping to 9-2 during the race at a major track
like Keeneland was a kick in the teeth.

I'm not convinced there is past posting.
Wouldn't take much to sway me, though.

You would think the creator of this thread would have gobs of data to present to us...CRICKETS!!