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Old 04-16-2024, 06:29 PM   #14
Dave Schwartz
 
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
Got it.

You also need some objective measurement of the strength of the field to go along with it. You can either look fractions and final time or the quality of the horses in the race (comparative class) and compare similar trips within the race, but just the positions and running lines are not enough even if they have some predictive ability. Ideally you'd be looking for horses that ran well against the general flow of the race.
We also need some objective statistics that show our chosen approach has validity.

"I think" does not necessarily equate to reality.
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