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Old 04-11-2023, 08:00 PM   #200
maddog42
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Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 2,357
Quote:
Originally Posted by Light View Post
That's not what the author said.

If you go towards the end of the book and look at his blinker section Meadows says:

"If a horse requires blinkers its generally a negative sign, since many horses race quite competently without them. Blinkers indicate problems. The trainer is grasping at a solution which may or may not work".

You say (above) blinkers are "often a major improvement" according to Massa and Meadows

But according to Massa's numbers from the book its a losing angle

B's on .70 ROI
B's off .82 ROI.

This is an example of common knowledge any horse player with around one year experience can deduce without stats.
On page 59 of the book both blinkers on and blinkers off are listed in the 12 or more positive factors list. When combined with 12 or more positive factors it shows one of the highest ROI's .99 (blinkers off) and I have used this for many very nice hits. While .99 ROI is still negative.... if you are patient and pick your spots combined with other positive factors it is a superb play.
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