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Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
I am of the opinion that profit can be derived from almost all races. It is the rare race where the public gets the planets lined up perfectly.
However, given a significant sample of races actually wagered, it is inevitable, that eventually patterns will emerge showing high spots and low spots.
The problem is that you need to put in a couple of thousand wagers usually to see these patterns emerge. Most people will not be able to play that many races and still be close enough to even to finish accumulating the necessary sample.
That is when they quit.
Of course, they could also play without money for a couple of thousand races - but who is going to do that?
I realize that the math guys - of which I am not really one -would say that you just test against the database.
As one who has done that for eons I can tell you that it is ALWAYS different when you go live.
Just my opinion.
Regards,
Dave Schwartz
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Agree, there is value to be had in all races, however, one's ability to find that value, in every race, probably ain't gonna happen. Maybe Al has found the goose that laid the golden egg?
