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Old 07-22-2010, 08:02 PM   #3
CincyHorseplayer
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Cincinnati,Ohio
Posts: 5,289
I agree with Cramer's overall take.People think that looking at the racing form "You don't have an edge because everybody is seeing what you are seeing".

It's like a looking at a Picasso,a Delacroix,a Bosch.It's all about interpretation.It is art,not science or pure numerology.Interpreting form is not as easy as "what's in the form".That's an oversimplification.Form analysis combined with what is happening on track today is beyond most of the crowd.As someone on here quoted as their signature "seeing what everyone has seen and thinking what nobody has thought".That's where art and creative thinking trump science and numbers.Over the last 2 days my big winners have been because of breeding,rainstorms that affected the way turf races were run,and a dead rail/closer bias.Adjusting my thinking on contenders I could capitalize.But it wasn't there "In the form".

The linemaking,idiosyncratic way,is the faster path to profit.The crowd is wrong 2/3rds of the time.When the toteboard is totally out of whack with your line,and you are right,you'll feel the adrenalin kick in and bet more than normal.And capitalize.

Although I must say.While I never bet underlays on my line,I will bet horses who are about even at times.They win often enough to warrant it.The overlays in exactas make up the difference for me.
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