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Originally Posted by Robert Goren
This is what I am playing with now. I working to determine how often the highest rated prime power horse beats a lower rated one by the difference in rating assuming at one of them won the race.
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Doesn't brisnet already have this done-- last time I viewed a brisnet product the top # was winning at about 36% (similar to a ML favorite ). Taking the top 2 might not be a bad idea in theory. But I think it's probably more important to classify the races, and pass on those types of races that fall below the average, and develop a betting strategy. It's tough going that route, because the high numbers are generally what everyone else will see when they consider contenders.
I think it will keep you in the game longer, but I believe you need to cross reference this with another independent variable or method. And know when to play or not to play.
