Quote:
Originally Posted by chadk66
if you think that only a three fold increase is gonna happen I got a bridge you'd be interested in  |
NYRA allowed lasix use in the tail end of 1995.
In the first 8 months of 1995 when lasix was still prohibited, there was 25 instances of external bleeding in New York or roughly 3 per month.
In the final 4 months of 1995 when lasix was allowed, there was 4 instances of external bleeding in New York or roughly 1 per month.
Anyone here able to calculate the ratio of decline? I'm apparently having trouble with my Minnesota Instruments MI-80.
Ironically, at the time, New York appeared to be having a "good" year in terms of bleeding episodes even before allowing lasix use. The average prior to 1995 was about 58 cases per year. In subsequent years when lasix was allowed the range was about 12-16 cases per year.
So if you want to be more pessimistic or fear mongering we can say it will probably be about a 4-fold increase (again assuming nothing is done to prevent such bleeders from continuing to race). Again, nowhere near the 50-fold increase you came up with.
At any rate, I might be interested in buying your bridge, but then...
...what are you gonna live under?
