Quote:
Originally Posted by JeremyJet
What do the numbers mean, though? Race 1 had a Brier Score of .099. Does that mean the line for that particular race was 90.1% accurate?
|
I'm not sure there is an intuitive interpretation of the # by itself. By definition, it's the sum of the squared error of your predictions for that race. The difficulty in interpreting the # by itself is why I mentioned that you should only interpret it relative to other scores, and probably only averaged over many races.
