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Intro
Hey guys. I wanted to introduce myself as a new pace member. I love harness racing and have been playing for about 6 months. I prefer the longer stretch and I am currently playing Meadowlands, Woodbine, and Hawthorne. I am pretty conservative by nature and I usually play 3-4 races per card. I have not been getting killed but tend to lose a little over the course of a month. This forum has a lot of experienced handicappers and I wanted to compliment all of you on the solid picks that you post here. As much as I appreciate the picks I was hoping some people would go into more detail on how they arrived at the selection. If some feel uncomfortable or feel they are revealing an edge, I understand. For others, maybe an explanation of a best bet or some other pick that you won. It can be a race that was in the past or one coming up. It seems some guys are using some type of computer calculations and others some spots or angles. Since I asked this I will post a brief outline of what I am currently using to help me handicap. Feel free to make suggestions on my process.
First I look at a horse's last two starts within 21 days. If the second race falls outside 21 days I just use the last start. I take the TM speed rating and make the following adjustments. Add 1 for every park out. 2 if three wide and 2 if the horse had the lead at one of the calls. I subtract 3 for a horse moving into a negative post. This post varies from track to track. I add or subtract for driver changes. This process is a little more detailed and I can explain further if someone asks. After all the ratings are done I look for a horse that has the highest rating and is a price or if I am playing under 5/1 I prefer a horse whose rating is best by at least 3 points. If a horse is the program and board favorite I pass the race.
I mostly play win but am trying to learn the best way to put together tickets for exactas. At this point trifectas and supers are just too much. Thanks for reading and hopefully some members will respond to this.
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