Quote:
Originally Posted by v j stauffer
I make it a whacker between Mark Patterson and Jon White at Santa Anita. Everybody likes to question the line. Most times when I've disagreed with Jon he's been proven to be right. I got him this past Saturday when I thought IMPROBABLE would be the favorite over HIGHER POWER. But it's a rare victory. I think my record with Jon is about 3-12.
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Jon White would be a better ML setter if he actually used odds percentages
in a set formula when compiling his listings. Far too often, the percentages
in the races he works on total somewhere around 150%. That is far too
high, and makes horses look like overlays by his calculations when, in fact,
he has quoted a line that is far too short on them in the first place.
It's been a pet peeve of mine for some time.
When your takeout on a win pool is in the region of 20%,
your odds percentages should never go over 130%, imo.
His ability to rate horses by their odds is not in question.
He just needs to price them a bit better.
