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Old 01-31-2018, 11:28 PM   #42
jay68802
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Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
When I was using a data base system, one thing I always tracked was how well these factors were doing as a whole group, how the were doing in the last 4 weeks. When the recent performance went below how a factor did as a whole, I would start to give that factor a higher rating. If the recent performance was higher than the factor did as a whole, I would lower that factors rating.

As an example, I looked at wire to wire wins on turf. I will just use round numbers here. Over a 5 yr period your data base tells you that 30% of all turf sprints are won wire to wire. But in the last 4 weeks they have been winning 25% of the turf sprints. Time to use this a little heavier, because it will go back up to the 30%.
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