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Old 11-19-2012, 10:18 AM   #24
Dave Schwartz
 
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,975
Quote:
Most useful is the ability to search results with toggles for odds ranges. When a model is developed that shows a positive ROI, rather than betting on it with both hands, the researcher is well advised to re-run the same data with the odds range set to a more reasonable range to see if the positive ROI still exists. That is, with filters set in a given pattern, an ROI that shows up when "any odds" are searched may change substantially when "only odds <= 10-1" are considered. Especially with small samples.
Traynor,

Another technique that I like is adding some randomness. If a horse won by a nostril hair and pays $68 that should have different value than if the horse won by 12 lengths.


And sometimes thread drift is a good thing.


Dave
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