Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Thread: HSH Software
View Single Post
Old 08-28-2020, 12:14 AM   #43
mikesal57
Veteran
 
mikesal57's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: NEW YORK CITY
Posts: 3,670
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz View Post
Not everyone thinks like you.
That would be precisely right.


numbers cant tell you that

And yet, our people do it all the time.
The trainer stats are killer.

Who has stats like...
How the trainer does with horses ranked like today's for speed rating in the last race, or best of last 2, or 2nd best ever, etc?


Jockey and trainer info needs improvement...those were your words many months ago.
Despite the TStats being the best available, they DO need improvement. But not in a 22-year old program. Instead these improvements go in the new program I am developing.

The program that HSH downloaders get for absolutely zero.

And the jockey stats are too basic. They need to be expanded by a full magnitude.

If you're the only one that wants it that is called, "Custom Programming."
That was your answer to anyone that asked for something.
How would you know what EVERYONE asks for?
Sure, I get it. You did lots of unionizing behind the scenes. It is your style. Of course, the people you reached out to unionize generally report back to me.




Yep. It really does need a face lift.
But AS-IS, it is far more powerful than anything else out there.
  • You can use IV Tables.
  • You can use Objects (i.e. ANY 6 factors weighted together)
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • A couple of types of AI
In fact, you can actually MIX these methods together in a single race!
You can even build "conditional" IV Tables that only fire if a horse has a specific set of conditions. (i.e. more than 5 early speed points or ranks in the top 2 for speed rating in the last race.)
Heck, you can write your own custom reports and tag each column with a weight that sums all the columns to a percentage.

It allows you to control how your own Artificial Morning Line is created.

It manages your day by post time.

It tracks your bets.
Heck, it tracks the horses you DON'T bet and allows you to save those and figure out which of almost 4,000 factors are beating you, or how you could improve your contender process.

You can look at a subset of horses such as the ones that went to the front and determine what pointed to winners or losers.

It also allows you to create an "object" that predicts who will likely go to the front, and then study those horses to determine which factors are likely to get those horses into the winner's circle.

It allows you to isolate on top jockeys (according to the standings) and tell you what factors go with a top (or bottom) jockey winning. Same with trainers.
BTW, trainers are broken down by "circuit," because some trainers have great numbers at small tracks and crappy numbers at big tracks. (Jerry Hollendorfer at GG was a perfect example. He was a near-40% trainer in NoCal and a 13% trainer in SoCal.)
It runs automatic IV demographics so you can tell how your bets (or contenders or not bets) are doing by day-of-week, month-of-year, track, surface, distance, age, sex, field size, track cond, ES pressure and a bunch more.

It allows you to create automatic betting systems for win-place-show based upon things like field size, odds (or projected odds), contender vs non-contender, etc. Allows you to dutch, partial dutch, etc.

It allows you to filter the races on today's cards (across multiple tracks) to tag all the races you are interested in betting (or at least handicapping). You can even run multiple filters against the day with a single click. Really simple examples:
** Claiming races, ALW, HCP, skip maidens, or turf
** Maiden races with 0-3 FTS (or 4, or 7)
** Field size >4 (or 7, whatever)
** races with a certain amount of pace pressure
Just to name a few
You can EASILY grab "races like this one" (using your definition) and analyze Exacta tickets using A-B-C-D-E combinations. (Your definition of each group based upon odds.)
This allows you to instantly see that (say) D-E combinations in "races like this one" are really bad bets.
We have a thing called "Collective Speed." Simple, really. Take all the pacelines for each horse in the race and toss them into a pot. Then you sort them.

I recall a BC race back in the '90s. The issue was Bertrando vs Lure.

If you looked at the last 10 races for each horse, what you saw was that the top NINE speed ratings in the race belonged to Lure. #10 was Bertrando. #11 was Lure.

Thus, in order for Bertrando to win, Lure had to run his WORST speed rating in the last 10 and Bertrando had to run his best.

Lure paid $5.80 as I recall.
We locate races in the database through the use of a "race filter." Then we use the races found to measure/study factors (that we've chosen) to produce "good handicapping objects."

We even have the ability to do this "dynamically (i.e. on-the-fly) for each race! Thus, you open a race and the software will build a custom set of objects to handicap this race.

Oh, and it does this with a single button click.
Okay. So, as much as the software needs a face lift, it is pretty difficult to let go of. HSH has still got a few more years in her.

Oh, wait... almost forgot.
You can still select pacelines.
Or, use one of the built in paceline selection systems. Or create your own automatic paceline system.
There is a form cycle analyzer that produces what Dick Schmidt liked to call, "Those Sheet-Like Things." It will give you a look at form in a graphical format in like 4 seconds.

For many of us, Pace is still a huge part of the game. We do pace modeling without ever selecting a paceline.

HSH also tells you when a horse is over bet.
In fact, in today's World of Whales, where almost 75% of all winners will be bet down, we even predict which horses are LIKELY to be those horses.
Ok, I really am going to stop here.

So, Mike - You are right. HSH is just not a good program for you.

Sorry it did not fit your needs.

Dave
PS: For anyone who took the time to actually read all of this, I've knocked the price of HSH down to $597. That's $1,000 off!

I'll leave that price for a FEW DAYS.
Glad you stuck your promo in there...LOL

You stated quite a few concepts here...
But how many of your subscribers actually know this...
I'll tell you ...not many if any !!
For the 18 months there it was all paid Seminars you were promoting...
which was based on un-tested theories....
New Cap...Tiers....Shark......all worthless to us but a payday for you.
I proved that your 4000+ factors was knocked down to under 100 with the research I did....but you failed to see it as usual...
20 year old factors dont work anymore...
The best are ML...Bris prime....best 2 of last 3....best 3 of 4.....this is stuff thats in $50 programs.....which I mentioned a few time but as always
you believe that your program is the best out there...
mikesal57 is offline  
 
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Which horse do you like most
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:25 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.