Great card at WO today, POT, and this race is always on my radar as well.
is the 4 rules horse and the top Early horse with a dominating 26 point edge (CJ suggested a length is about 5 points, so do the math). However, his late pace is the worst in the field. Using the adjusted times, I get his %E to be 51.29% which doesn't look too high to me, but is cause for concern.
Guy Caballero is very interesting - third off a layoff, he has been improving ever race except his first back off the layoff, then set a new top last time, only 3 point below the 4 rules horse. Only 4 figs are higher from the last three races, and they are shared by only two horses. His early/late balance is very good - he will have first run over the top 4 best late horses. Of those four,
King and his Court has the best speed figs to go with his late run.
At 20-1, this guy, the
has my palm itching.
Early line, in order of my preference
10-1
8-1
5-1
