Here is the rest of the year (with winter removed).
These are the hit rates I am used to seeing.
Of course, there is no profit to be found.
In our HSH system, the primary use for the major factors like these is to predict what the odds on the horses should be.
Code:
2023.
168-rcRtgWIN BETS
Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC
1st 17,082 5,186 30.4 $1.69 2.06 1.06 1.09 2.25 $5.58 1.83 2.01
2nd 15,482 3,100 20.0 $1.64 1.36 1.03 1.06 1.53 $8.19 3.18 2.87
3rd 14,689 2,050 14.0 $1.56 0.95 0.96 1.01 1.14 $11.19 4.61 3.61
FH 19,201 1,810 9.4 $1.46 0.76 0.96 0.94 0.77 $15.49 7.29 4.85
RH 34,693 2,109 6.1 $1.34 0.44 0.91 0.86 0.52 $22.12 11.22 5.88
Total 101,147 14,255 14.1 $1.50 1.01 0.98
$NetR= 1.26 IVR= 4.68 PIVR= 1.16 PubChR= 2.93
2023.
174-rPSRWIN BETS
Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC
1st 15,691 5,155 32.9 $1.74 2.23 1.07 1.12 2.40 $5.28 1.66 1.80
2nd 15,113 3,125 20.7 $1.66 1.40 1.03 1.07 1.58 $8.03 3.03 2.68
3rd 14,701 2,125 14.5 $1.56 0.98 0.98 1.01 1.16 $10.81 4.51 3.50
FH 19,557 1,857 9.5 $1.50 0.76 0.96 0.97 0.77 $15.81 7.24 4.78
RH 36,085 1,993 5.5 $1.31 0.40 0.87 0.85 0.50 $23.73 11.82 5.97
Total 101,147 14,255 14.1 $1.50 1.01 0.98
$NetR= 1.33 IVR= 5.58 PIVR= 1.23 PubChR= 3.32
2023.
175-rCPwWIN BETS
Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC
1st 15,486 4,818 31.1 $1.70 2.11 1.07 1.10 2.29 $5.47 1.79 1.98
2nd 15,125 3,086 20.4 $1.66 1.39 1.02 1.07 1.57 $8.15 3.07 2.81
3rd 14,609 2,167 14.8 $1.57 1.01 0.99 1.01 1.18 $10.56 4.43 3.55
FH 19,449 1,941 10.0 $1.57 0.80 0.98 1.01 0.80 $15.76 7.01 4.77
RH 36,478 2,243 6.1 $1.29 0.45 0.89 0.83 0.54 $20.97 10.72 5.79
Total 101,147 14,255 14.1 $1.50 1.01 0.98
$NetR= 1.32 IVR= 4.69 PIVR= 1.20 PubChR= 2.92
FxNum Factor $NetR IVR PIVR PubChR Score
1 174 rPSR 1.33 5.58 1.23 3.32 60.98
2 175 rCPw 1.32 4.69 1.20 2.92 52.60
3 168 rcRtg 1.26 4.68 1.16 2.93 48.36
