Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
Every serious handicapper should spend at least a couple of years trying to make their own figures (even for a single circuit) and then comparing them to other sources. Going through that process and discussing the issues with other figure makers would probably move people away from making definitive statements about the merits of certain horses based on figures alone and pretty much eliminate all the criticisms of the figure makers. IMO, both would be a positive development.
All the big name figure makers are VERY smart people working their butts off, but it's the nature of figure making that a lot of subjective opinions creep into the figures on top of all the complexities of wind, run up, track maintenance, pace, weather etc..
If you keep your expectations reasonable, you'll have less to complain about.
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You are correct here, make your own figures, or try to match Beyers. Do it for one track or, like I did, concentrated on Louisiana. You will find out how time consuming it is, and how hard it is to come up with a good variant. It took me three years to finally trust my figures enough to bet with them.
