Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
Maybe I'm exaggerating a little.
I listen to a few podcasts featuring what I would consider to be very sharp handicappers. They all use a different sets of figures (some make their own). They all have more or less information on biases, trip, trainers, breeding, pace etc.. depending on the type of information and circuit they focus on.
If they were to all make odds lines, I think you'd see many similarities among the contenders, but within most races you'd probably see at least 1-2 notable differences.
I like to look at a lot of things in a lot of different ways. My thinking is often foggy enough to not be sure which of two horses represents a better play. So I bet both (usually when I hate the favorite). If I had a higher degree of confidence (or arrogance?) in my ability to separate them, I'd only play the better one.
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That's why I favor the exotics...especially the verticals. With the vertical exotics..."value" can often be created even if the top choice is underlaid. In my opinion, at least.