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[HalvOnHorseracing]

Originally Posted by Robert Fischer

Trip Handicapping is a major model.

Ultimately, you are seeking the same ends as with other major models; Significantly mispriced horses.

You want to be betting on horses who have shown that they can win, but are being ignored as if they can't win, due to their adverse trip(s).

You want to bet against horses who have never shown that they can win, but are being bet as if they are a top contender, due to their 'dressed-up' trip(s).


Trip handicapping info works for me like critical mass.
If the odds, horse, and public perception aren't pointing in the right direction to a sufficient degree, nothing really happens. A negative or minimal value situation. Betting into those trade-offs, is a long-term loser.

When they are pointing in the right direction to a sufficient degree, you have a big value situation. An exponential growth of value.

Thanks for that perspective. Good stuff.