Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
For Selections:
The ONLY tool I use is a very sophisticated Tote Board analysis program. It goes into far more detail then just viewing the Odds (the Win Pool). It generates a composite value for each Entry at each of 3 different intervals during the O.A. betting cycle. At each interval a simple comparison is made between each entry’s value and a Par value which encompasses all of the money in all the betting pools being monitored. Only those entries with values close to Par are considered as potential play regardless of their odds.
For Play or Pass
ONLY if the odds on the selected entries offer potential Value is a wager made. Because there are often more then 2 or 3 selections I generally hedge my bets by either Dutching, or boxing Quinellas, Exactas, Triples and possibly even an occasional Super. I never make a straight Win, Place or Show bet.
Sample:
This is a portion (single betting interval) of the tote analysis for Race 10 @ Del Mar on Sat 8/11/18
Code:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 PAR
10.0 20.0 8.0 3.5 20.0 2.5 4.5 12.0 8.0 8.0
32.0 38.0 23.0 3.5 47.0 1.5 7.0 37.0 32.0 2.0
407 240 327 195 323 195 192 307 320 146 #### 201
A) Top line = M/L Odds….. B) Middle line = Current Odds….. C) Bottom line – Entry & Par Values.
(Sometimes they just jump off the page.)
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Nitro, at which betting interval was this taken, 15 min, 12 min, 8 min, 5 min? Or which one was closest? No,they all don't jump off the page as this one did.
