Quote:
Originally Posted by SG4
I was wondering if any kind of stat or program exists to give jockeys something of a performance expectation rating. What I mean by this is say a jockey is on the 4th betting choice in a race & they finish 2nd, I'd give them a +2 score that race, or if you're on a favorite and finish 5th they'd get a -4 for that race. Wonder if an average score would help identify riders who may be over/underestimated by the betting public, or could possibly help identify upcoming apprentice jockeys as ones to watch.
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Hey SG4
I am looking to revisit this using Davis at Aqueduct but using the Morning Line instead of actual odds
Also, instead of the finish position I will just use 4 for off the board so if he's 6th choice in the Morning Line and he runs 4th it will be 4 - 4 = 0 and not 6 - 4 = +2
I am not giving him a +2 for finishing off the board it doesn't feel right to do that
However, I will keep 1st choice in the Morning Line finishing 6th as a -5 so 1 - 6 = -5
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Here is D Davis record at Aqueduct overall as of yesterday
Surprisingly enough, his record on a Fast Surface gives a much better return per $2 win wager than on a wet Surface!!!
I will keep an eye on his mounts from now on at Aqueduct!!! |
I am curious to see what his +/- is overall and in certain race types (i.e. Maidens, Claimers, etc.).
If he is giving a huge minus in certain situations maybe you stay away and do the opposite for huge plus values
Let me know if this is similar to what you had in mind
I will also do this for the Trainers at Aqueduct!!!
