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Old 06-10-2023, 01:03 PM   #34
Thomas Roulston
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Lakehurst, NJ
Posts: 1,035
Angel of Empire has a Dosage Index of 9.00 - which means that he wouldn't go a mile and a half if you put him on board a space shuttle!

Arcangelo's Dosage Index is not much better at 8.60.

And then there are Il Miracolo and Red Route One, whose Dosage Profiles (1-4-7-0-0) and Dosage Indexes (2.43) are identical. Il Miracolo also has a career best Beyer of 77 - which is even more unhealthy than the air that the East Coast has been choking on recently.

That leaves five horses who qualify on both Dosage and stamina-wing representation - but Tapit Shoes' career best Beyer of 91 is a full 10 points below the long-term par of 101 for the Belmont.

So now we're down to four - and while Tapit Trice has an Intermediate-shaped Dosage Profile (5-15-11-1-0, due to the presence of paternal grandsire Intermediate-Classic chef-de-race Pulpit, himself a son of another Intermediate-Classic chef, A.P. Indy, with two of his four great-grandsires being Brilliant-Intermediate chef-de-race Unbridled and the Intermediate Unbridled's Song), compared with the Classic-shaped DPs of National Treasure (4-4-7-1-0), Forte (4-4-5-1-0) and, most of all, Hit Show (2-5-6-1-0), he's still a dual qualifier.

Furthermore, Tapit Trice's TimeformUS's Pace "plus-minus" figure is a stout minus 23 (Forte's is minus 6, Hit Show's is minus 1, and National Treasure's is plus 3).

And with Tapit Trice having a best Beyer of 99, exceeded only by that of Forte among the five dual qualifiers, look for Tapit Trice to tag Forte at the wire, with Hit Show winning a photo over National Treasure to complete the trifecta.
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