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Old 04-19-2018, 12:04 PM   #2
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
I took a small sample of Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 since March 24th, 2018

Out of 152 races Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 have won at a rate of 30.9%

To maintain 31% at least 4 of the 14 eligible Morning Line Favorites will need to win (three MTO's have scratched)

Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface:
1    04-18-2018    1st race    1    Disclude (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Four And One Half Furlongs    T A Pletcher    7/5#    Dirt
2    04-18-2018    1st race    1A    Ma Meatloaf (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Four And One Half Furlongs    T A Pletcher    7/5#    Dirt
3    04-18-2018    1st race    4    Midnight Sway (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Four And One Half Furlongs    W A Ward    5/2#    Dirt
4    04-18-2018    2nd race    8    Contingent Payment (KY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    G P Gullo    2/1#    Dirt
5    04-18-2018    3rd race    5    Radiant Beauty (KY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One Mile    R R Rodriguez    5/2#    Turf
6    04-18-2018    3rd race    8    Data Dependent (KY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One Mile    C C Brown    6/5#    Turf
7    04-18-2018    3rd race    7    Mo Smart (OH) (MTO)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One Mile    T A Pletcher    4/5#    Turf
8    04-18-2018    4th race    1    Forward Motion (NY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    L Rice    2/1#    Turf
9    04-18-2018    4th race    1A    Fast Getaway (NY) (MTO)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    L Rice    2/1#    Turf
10    04-18-2018    5th race    3    Seeking the Blue (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    C Clement    5/2#    Dirt
11    04-18-2018    5th race    6    Camorra (NY)    Allowance Optional Claiming    Six Furlongs    T A Pletcher    7/5#    Dirt
12    04-18-2018    6th race    7    Princess Akris (NY)    Maiden Claiming    One Mile    M Vera    5/2#    Dirt
13    04-18-2018    7th race    4    Cerro (IRE)    Claiming    Six And One Half Furlongs    B N Levine    2/1#    Dirt
14    04-18-2018    8th race    2    Yummy Bear (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    D G Donk    2/1#    Turf
15    04-18-2018    8th race    3    American Guru (KY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    J A Jerkens    7/5#    Turf
16    04-18-2018    8th race    4    Polar Jet (FL) (MTO)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    L Rice    2/5#    Turf
17    04-18-2018    9th race    6    Cheyenne Bull (KY)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    J Servis    5/2#    Turf
I'm thinking these 2 will be among the 4 if after the 5th race there are no more than 2 winners from this group

6th race
#7 Princess Akris

7th race
#4 Cerro

Let's see what happens prior to race 5 today at Aqueduct!!!
We got the 4 wins from this group yesterday but only got 1 winner from the two above and Morning Line Favorites are winning at 31% since March 24th!!!
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