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Old 11-08-2018, 02:27 PM   #1
dilanesp
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
blog post with a lesson for handicappers

https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-dr...study-you-see/

Basically, before 2000, researchers were permitted to develop their hypotheses to fit apparent patterns in the data when researching cardiovascular treatments. And they found all sorts of "patterns" which seemed significant but turned out not to be.

After 2000, they were required to state their hypothesis before testing it, and it turned out there were very few significant results.

There's an obvious lesson here for handicappers.
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