Quote:
Originally Posted by SG4
I was wondering if any kind of stat or program exists to give jockeys something of a performance expectation rating. What I mean by this is say a jockey is on the 4th betting choice in a race & they finish 2nd, I'd give them a +2 score that race, or if you're on a favorite and finish 5th they'd get a -4 for that race. Wonder if an average score would help identify riders who may be over/underestimated by the betting public, or could possibly help identify upcoming apprentice jockeys as ones to watch.
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As in all odds related plays, it would be best to determine a jocky's efficiency by comparing his actual wins to his expected wins. the forever a/e ratio using the final true dollar odds.
these comparisons should further be broken down by incremental odds, the small the more accurate, the greater the required data
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Last edited by formula_2002; 01-09-2018 at 12:35 PM.
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