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Thanks Tom and cj.
My point wasn't which figure maker was "best," but that each figure maker looks at two nearly identical races and rates them with such variance.
To summarize--
Race 5/26 DRF-Var 80-20 Bris 95 Cramer 93 Beyer 83 Time Form 107 Hambleton TPR 177
Race 4/26 DRF-Var 79-20 Bris 83 Cramer 87 Beyer 75 Time Form 111 Hambleton TPR 176
Bris has a 12 point spread, Cramer a 6 point spread, Beyer an 8 point spread, Time Form a minus 4 point spread and Hambleton a one point spread comparing the 5/26 race to the 4/26 race.
And this is not rare.
We have to carefully weigh whatever information we use when making a wagering decision.
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