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Thread: Ask Andy Beyer
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Old 01-01-2020, 05:32 PM   #107
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
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Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,849
Quote:
Originally Posted by steveb View Post
you project horses, i project races(using standards).


if a horse has run an 80 in a race where winner generally runs a 70, then next time it's in that 70 race, imo all it needs to do is run that 70.

i would not project it as an 80
For me at least, projecting is a lot more complicated than that.

The standard part is tough here, particularly when using time. There simply aren't enough races to come up with a reliable standard with all the various conditions, distances, surfaces, etc.
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