Quote:
Originally Posted by steveb
you project horses, i project races(using standards).
if a horse has run an 80 in a race where winner generally runs a 70, then next time it's in that 70 race, imo all it needs to do is run that 70.
i would not project it as an 80
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For me at least, projecting is a lot more complicated than that.
The standard part is tough here, particularly when using time. There simply aren't enough races to come up with a reliable standard with all the various conditions, distances, surfaces, etc.