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Old 11-08-2018, 11:14 AM   #5
Nitro
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 18,971
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo View Post
There is a more accurate method of deriving a horse's time at a given point of call though it takes a bit more work. It's based on the velocity of the that segment of the race. When you know how fast they are going at that segment you can simply calculate the horses time based on distance behind and that velocity. Of course there is still some error possible but only when the horse involved and leader are going at significantly different velocities.
There in lies the problem I’m talking about.
(It's not how fast "they are going" because at any point of call you only know how fast the lead horse is going.
You can’t assume that the horses trailing are traveling at the same average velocity of the horse arriving at any point of call.

Please re-read the last 3 paragraphs I posted.
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