Quote:
Originally Posted by Mc990
I didn't say he was even money... I said he was even money if he got back to his Wood (maybe slightly better than that actually).
Right now I'd make him 7/2 at worst and yes I expect him to be a big overlay...
The loss of audible and mbj will hurt as I thought those two were no-hopers but I still expect better than 5-1
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Perhaps a reasonable comparison is the 2014 Belmont where Chrome making a crown bid was 4/5, Wicked Strong 5-1, three in the 8 to 9-1 range, then your 20-1+ types. I figure Vino fits that 8-1 mold.
Quote:
Originally Posted by boys at tosconova
what a mish mosh of horses mostly separated by racing styles. a case can made for many.
you're going to have what 8-12 horses?
tough sledding imo if justy packs it in like many have done after 2 grueling legs.
i have to say i like tenfold a little in here. horse is just getting better.
long shot players seem to have the best shot they've ever had in this race. even though every other prep race was won by fav's
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True. I can make a reasonable case for most of the field to hit the trifecta. I guess for now I'll plan on Justify and Indy to duke it out setting up shop for Vino, Hofburg, and perhaps even Blended Citizen. Maybe those three over themselves over all. The buck version would cost around $40 total with a shot at four figures like what Tonalist provided in 2014.
