Quote:
Originally Posted by rispa
For certain tracks, I make my own pace/speed figures for turf and dirt. When the pace of a turf race is say nearly two lengths slower than par, do you make any adjustments to the final time? Or, do do you leave it as is?
Thanks.
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It's not a good idea to make adjustments for pace at the "race level" because individual horses within a race will run different fractions and therefore will be impacted differently.
What I would do is report the actual speed figures for each horse, but add a notation that the figure was probably impacted by the extreme pace.
Then if I had some kind for formula for adjusting a performance based on pace, I would create another number for each horse that represented his actual ability/performance.