Quote:
Originally Posted by rispa
For certain tracks, I make my own pace/speed figures for turf and dirt. When the pace of a turf race is say nearly two lengths slower than par, do you make any adjustments to the final time? Or, do do you leave it as is?
Thanks.
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cj is probably the best source of how to adjust for pace though I think his algorithm for this is proprietary. Personally, I find that only a couple of lengths off par would have little if any effect on the final time on any surface. The effect of pace variations is exponential rather than linear. That means that small deviations from par have less of an effect than the same magnitude of changes at larger deviations. I posted a thread on this a couple of years ago on how I evaluate the effect of pace.
