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Old 02-24-2004, 10:45 PM   #39
Tom
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,787
I have a database of many factors.
What would you suggest I do to start a regression study?
Look at single factors, combinations?
I could use Excel to plot finsh positions or beaten lengths of horses with certain factors by rank, look for postivie correlation?
Is there a better program out there to run multiple studies?
WhatI do now is to querry Access for things like

Running Style F or E
Qirin speed points >6
F1 velocity rank 1
EP velocity rank <3

Then figure out impact values and roi for the results.
It sounds like you guys are skinng the cat with a sharper knife.
I re-read the chapters in the back of Bill Quirrin's first book, about the post position study and the formula he came up with.
My HTR data has some very predictive factors, and some factors that enhance the predictablilty of others (ie, jockey change, workout rating, are very potent)
I want to use my data to its fullest, and since some of these factors are not available to the general public, I think it will worth the work.
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