Quote:
Next pick came up, and I glanced at him, and ICE COLD on the board. So, I figure; "Money Talks" maybe shouldn't be the favorite, but should be obvious as a threat from a top barn,
|
I suspect the "Money Talks" angle works better with horses that gamblers have to guess about like first time starters, layoffs, first time turf, some shippers, a consistent horse that ran poorly last time for no obvious reason, horses that usually work regularly but have gaps in their workouts recently and things like that. Those are the kinds of situations where insiders have a clear edge in knowing the talent of the horses, the status of the horse, whether it's ready for an "A" race etc..
Some of the other situations where people are yelling "they knew" are more likely to be the opposite. The person yelling "they knew" simply "didn't know" what a lot of other people did.
Maybe the are using a different set of figures, missed a bias or trip, missed a trainer pattern, or misunderstood a certain trip or situation, but they are starting from the perspective that they know everything and are always right. So they conclude it had to be some insider when it was just the public doing a better job on that race.