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Old 06-04-2018, 09:31 AM   #4
dilanesp
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
Quote:
Originally Posted by clicknow View Post
This is why capping the Belmont Stakes is an entirely different exercize than looking at PPs for prep stakes races, and even the KY Derby or Preakness. Using the latter approach, Justify towers (actually sky-scrapers ) over this field---by a huge margin.

Graveyard of champions indeed.

However, I think one has to have a better *reason* than one o' those historical angles (no different from *curses* we've talked about) to believe he can be beat.
It's not a curse. American Pharoah proved that.

It's a betting opportunity. TC attempts tend to go off at under even money, and it is highly likely that they are well below 50 percent probability.

That suggests there are possible overlays.
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